Treasurys rise after 30-year note auction

Treasury prices rise after gov't auctions $11 billion in 30-year bonds to strong demand

NEW YORK (AP) -- Treasury prices rose Thursday after the government auctioned $11 billion in 30-year bonds to robust demand.
The auction got nearly two-and-a-half as many bids as notes available. The Treasury Department has been selling debt at a record pace as it tries to fund the government's stimulus and bailout efforts. Just this week, it auctioned $63 billion in long-term government securities.

As the stock market rallied, Treasury prices rose, too.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 14/32 to 99 1/32. Its yield fell to 2.86 percent from 2.91 percent late Wednesday. Prices move opposite yields.
The two-year note rose 1/32 to 99 23/32, and its yield fell to 1.01 percent from 1.02 percent.
The 30-year bond rose 30/32 to 98 1/32, and its yield fell to 3.61 percent from 3.67 percent.
The yield on the safe-haven three-month Treasury bill slipped to 0.20 percent from 0.22 percent. The discount rate was 0.21 percent.
The cost of lending between banks dipped slightly. The British Bankers' Association said the London Interbank Offered Rate, or Libor, on three-month loans in dollars fell 0.01 percentage points to 1.32 percent. Libor is down significantly from its peak last fall, but up from its mid-January low of 1.08 percent.

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3 Steps to Stop Losing Money in Trading

To start trading a trader needs to fund an account with some of his or her own money. That is called the initial investment. But even before you consider this step; bear in mind these 3 essential points.
The 3 crucial steps are namely 1) what to do if your funds fall below a certain amount, 2) how you will manage risks and 3) is this initial investment sufficient.
The sad fact is that close to 95% of new traders don't know about these 3 steps at all and most of these new traders end up losing money.

Here are 3 tips to help you keep afloat and solvent regardless of how bad the market is.

1. Keep a separate account
Even before you start trading, you would have in hand a certain amount of cash, the amount would of course vary from trader to trader. What you can do is to keep half of the amount into a separate bank account
What happens is that you have just created a reserve account. This is held in reserve in case your initial account gets wiped out. The other reason for building such an account is that we have guard against our emotions. If you use up all of your account then should there be a need to transfer any cash over to your trading account it would take some time. During this time you get to cool off. There should never exist a need for you to touch your reserve account. If you lose the initial account. Stop and consider what went wrong before starting again. Take the time and effort to improve yourself.

2. Money management
The difference between a profitable trader and a loser trader is money management and psychology. There is now other way to be profitable other than to focus on money management and psychology.
A good guide to follow for money management is to use not more than 1% to 5% of your whole initial investment. How that works out is that if you happen to use 1% of your account, then you get to make 100 losing trades before you need to refund your account. Consequently if you decide to use 5% then the figure goes down to 20 losing trades. Depending on individual risk tolerance level you decide, but base that against the risk and returns of each trade as well.

3. Contingency Plans
This is your exit strategy. Let's face the reality, you will lose money, this is a fact. Unless you have a mentor to help guide you through the difficult starting stages of trading it is most likely that you will lose your first account.
That is why in the beginning you will need to split your initial investment into half. After you have traded and failed, then your next account will be a lot more profitable. You can read a lot of books, go for all the courses, but nothing beats the real experience of trading. After you have had experience in trading you will know how to handle your losses better. So set up a safety net, call it insurance if you like, just do it and you will thank me later.
The above 3 steps will help you to stop losing money in trading. Once you have stopped the out flow of cash, every trade you do brings in more profits to you.


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Money Flow Index (MFI)

The Money Flow Index measures the amount of money flowing in and out of a security.It’s a good measure of the strength of money flowing in and out of a security.It compares “positive money flow” to “negative money flow” to create an indicator that can be compared to price in order to identify the strength or weakness of a trend.- A divergence between price and MFI often signals an imminent reversal of the trend.- Readings below 20 on the scale are considered oversold (bullish).- Readings above 80 on the scale are considered overbought (bearish).When analyzing the MFI the following should be taken into account: divergences between indicator and price movement. If prices increase and MFI falls (or vice versa), the probability of price turning is very high. MFI values higher than 80 and lower than 20 signalizes respectively about potential peak or foundation of the market.

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Accumulation/Distribution (AD)

Accumulation Distribution is a price and volume indicator.- When the Accumulation/Distribution moves up, it shows that the security is being accumulated (Buying), as most of the volume is associated with upward price movement.- When the indicator moves down, it shows that the security is being distributed (Selling), as most of the volume is associated with downward price movement.- Divergences between the Accumulation/Distribution indicator and the price of the security indicate the upcoming change of prices.

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William�s Percent Range

It was developed by Larry Williams. This system attempts to measure overbought and oversold market conditions.The %R always falls between a value of 100 and 0. There are two horizontal lines in the study which represent the 20% and 80% overbought and oversold levels.Indicator values ranging between 80 and 100% indicate that the market is oversold.Indicator values ranging between 0 and 20% indicate that the market is overbought.But we have to take in consideration that overbought does not necessarily imply time to sell and oversold does not necessarily imply time to buy so, it's very important that if an overbought/oversold indicator, such as Stochastic or Williams %R, shows an overbought level, the best action is to wait for the futures contract’s price to turn down before selling.So, you sell when %R reaches 20% or lower (the market is overbought) and buy when it reaches 80% or higher (the market is oversold). However, as with all overbought/oversold indicators, it is wise to wait for the indicator price to change direction before initiating any trade.

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Stochastic Oscillator

George C. Lane developed the Stochastic Oscillator in the late 1950s.It’s a technical indicator which compares a stock's closing price to its price range over a given period of time. The belief is that in rising market stocks will close near their highs, while in a falling market they will close near their lows.The Stochastic Oscillator contains four variables:1) %K Periods: This is the number of time periods used in the stochastic calculation.2) %K Slowing Periods: This value controls the internal smoothing of %K. A value of 1 is considered a fast stochastic while a value of 3 is considered a slow stochastic.3) %D Periods: This is the number of time periods used when calculating the moving average of %K.4) %D Method: The method (Exponential, Simple, Time Series, Triangular, Variable, or Weighted) used to calculate %DSignals for buying & selling:- The signals of buying given when oscillator (either %K or %D) falls below the line, and then again crosses the bottom level upwards or when the curve %K crosses the curve %D from below upward.- The signals of selling when oscillator grows above the line, and then crosses the top level downwards or when the curve %K crosses a curve %D from top to downward.

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